World
February 13, 2025 22:00
middle east - Israel contemplates using special forces for a strategic move against Iran's nuclear facilities, supported by US weaponry and intelligence.
Israel's Potential Strategy Against Iran
Israel is considering a daring operation involving special forces for a potential strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, as reported by US intelligence assessments. While the prevailing notion is that Israel would need US weapons and knowledge for an effective attack, an alternative approach is gaining attention.
Reports from two American newspapers suggest that Israel could launch an assault on Iran's nuclear program within the year, possibly in the next six months. This timing is deemed opportune, given Israel's previous success in neutralizing Iranian air defense systems.
The route to Iran's nuclear facilities, primarily located in Natanz and Fordow, appears vulnerable. Israel's 'bunker busters,' previously used against Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah's hideout, are believed capable of inflicting significant damage on Natanz. However, bombs and bombers, assets exclusively held by the US, would be necessary for targeting the underground Fordow facility.
While US President Donald Trump seems hesitant towards military action against Iran, Israel has another option: a bold operation with special forces. This concept, previously discussed but recently thrust into the limelight by a clandestine Israeli mission last September, involved around 120 commandos employing a diverse array of military resources to destroy an Iranian missile factory in Syria, mirroring the depth of Fordow's underground facility.
Past Israeli incursions into Iran, including the covert retrieval of Iran's nuclear archive, demonstrate the nation's resolve in countering Iran's nuclear ambitions. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's recent visit to the White House aimed to garner support for an Iran strike, yet Trump appears inclined towards a diplomatic resolution, emphasizing stringent sanctions to compel Iranian compliance.
Netanyahu views the present circumstances as an opportune moment for an attack, fearing Iran's nuclear aspirations amid regional setbacks. With Iran's leadership rebuffing negotiations and Trump hinting at a potential return to military considerations, Israel's military options, including airstrikes and commando operations, remain viable strategies.
Implications and Future Scenarios
The assessment posits that Israeli airstrikes could delay Iran's nuclear program briefly, while a successful commando operation or full US backing could prolong this setback. As tensions escalate and diplomatic avenues dwindle, the specter of military intervention looms, underscoring the complex dynamics of the Iran-Israel-US relationship.